Direct-to-Consumer (DTC) Programs

DTC was sold as a channel. It is a relationship, and the economics only work when you know what the relationship is for.

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Companies bring in a direct to consumer consultant to settle one question before any storefront gets built: whether holding a direct relationship with end customers earns more than it costs, and what that relationship is supposed to produce for the rest of the business. It is a business-model decision before it is a commerce decision. A direct program launched without settling it becomes an expensive second route to market, selling the same proposition to the same people at a worse margin. Vivaldi has worked on demand-side and route-to-market strategy since 1999.

  • Since 1999demand-side and route-to-market strategy
  • 200+published case studies
  • 10 officeson four continents
  • 5xWirtschaftsWoche Best of Consulting, Strategy and Innovation

Two different questions get filed under the same three letters, so it is worth naming which one this page answers. This page covers the business-model decision: whether to go direct, which demand space the direct relationship is meant to win, what the first-party data is worth to the rest of the company, and what acquisition cost the model can sustain. Our direct-to-consumer and adaptive e-commerce strategy work covers the execution layer that follows: commerce architecture, platform and merchandising decisions, and the operating rhythm that keeps a direct channel competitive once it exists. If you do not yet know why you are going direct, start here.

When companies bring us in

The trigger is rarely a wish to open a store. It is usually one of these.

  • The board has asked for a direct channel and nobody can state, in a sentence, what it is for beyond margin
  • A direct channel already exists, and the unit economics do not close once fulfillment, service and returns are counted honestly
  • Retail or distribution partners are pushing back, and the current answer to channel conflict is to make the direct offer deliberately worse
  • The company sells through institutions, resellers or distributors and has no view of the person who actually uses the product
  • Customer data is being collected and nobody outside the channel team can use it, so the largest claimed benefit of going direct never arrives

Why the direct channel playbook produced so many unprofitable businesses

The generous reading of the last decade is correct as far as it goes. Direct relationships really do produce better data, faster feedback and higher gross margin per unit. That was not the mistake.

The mistake was treating those advantages as the proposition. Penetration is maintenance rather than a growth strategy, and a direct channel selling the existing range to the existing buyer is penetration with a higher fulfillment cost. A large number of direct businesses acquired customers at a price lifetime value never justified, because what they offered the customer was distribution rather than demand. Buying the same category of product from a different website is not a reason to change behavior, so the behavior had to be bought, over and over, in paid media.

Inside large incumbents the pattern repeats in a specific form:

  • The direct channel launches with the existing assortment, so it competes with retail partners on price rather than on a different job
  • Acquisition cost is measured against first-order margin instead of against a realistic retained lifetime value
  • The customer data is captured and then lands in a system nobody outside the channel team can use
  • Channel conflict is managed by restricting the direct offer, which removes the only reason a customer had to use it

The useful question is not whether to go direct. It is which demand space a direct relationship lets you own that intermediated distribution cannot reach, and whether the data it produces makes the rest of the business measurably better. Where there is a real answer, the economics tend to work, and the direct relationship becomes a way of meeting intent rather than buying attention. Where there is not, no amount of performance marketing rescues them.

What our direct to consumer consulting services include

1. Settling the strategic case

  • The demand space the direct relationship is meant to win, stated as a customer situation rather than as a channel target
  • What the direct offer does that the intermediated one structurally cannot, whether that is configuration, subscription, service, replenishment or continuity of context
  • The value of first-party data to the rest of the business, priced explicitly, since this is often the largest part of the return and the least often quantified
  • An honest position on cannibalization: how much of the direct volume is genuinely incremental

2. Building the economic model

  • Sustainable acquisition cost derived from retained lifetime value and contribution margin, not from a channel budget
  • Cohort economics with a realistic view of repeat behavior, tested against your own retention history rather than category benchmarks
  • The fixed cost of running direct, including fulfillment, service, returns and the technology nobody includes in the first business case
  • The threshold at which the program is judged to be working, agreed before launch rather than argued about afterward

3. Handling the channel relationship

  • Where the direct proposition differs enough from the retail one that both can be defended in a partner conversation
  • Pricing and assortment rules that do not require the direct offer to be artificially handicapped
  • What retail partners gain from the direct channel existing, which is usually demand signal and product insight, and how that gets shared

4. Turning the relationship into an asset

  • A data model that makes customer information usable by innovation, pricing and portfolio teams rather than only by the channel
  • A feedback path from direct customer behavior into what the company builds next
  • Clear ownership, since a direct program parked inside e-commerce tends to be measured on revenue and starved of the strategic remit that justified it

Does direct do something retail structurally cannot?

Differentiated job, economics not yet provenWorth building towardThe reason to exist is real and the payback is not there yet. Fix the model: pricing, repeat behavior, fulfillment cost. Do not launch at scale to find out.
Differentiated job, economics closeA direct businessThe direct offer serves a situation the intermediated one cannot, and retained value covers acquisition. This is the only quadrant where scale is the right instruction.
Same job, economics do not closeDo not go directA second route to market for the same proposition at a worse margin. The honest recommendation, and the one a firm selling a program will not give you.
Same job, economics appear to closeThe expensive mistakeIt works on first-order margin and erodes as paid acquisition inflates and partners respond. Most of the unprofitable direct businesses of the last decade started here.

Does retained lifetime value cover acquisition cost?

Margin per unit is not the axis that decides this. A direct channel can clear every commerce benchmark and still be a worse version of the business you already have, because the question is what the relationship is for, not what it grosses.

Not sure whether direct earns its cost in your business?

Start with a working session with one of our partners. We will take your current distribution, the demand space a direct relationship would be meant to win, and your own retention history, and establish whether the model closes before anyone specifies a platform.

Book a direct-to-consumer review

How a direct-to-consumer engagement works

  1. Diagnose. Customer and non-customer research, a read of your own cohort and retention data, partner and channel interviews, and a view of where demand is already forming outside your category lines. The output is a statement of which customer situation a direct relationship could own.
  2. Decide. The direct proposition, what it does that retail cannot, and the economic model: sustainable acquisition cost, cohort payback, the real fixed cost of operating. The output is a go, a not yet with conditions, or a no, each written down with its reasoning.
  3. Design. The offer, the pricing and assortment logic, the partner position, the data model and who outside the channel uses it. The output is a program that other parts of the business have a reason to support.
  4. Embed. Ownership, decision rights, the operating rhythm and the measures the program is judged on, so it is not quietly reassessed as a revenue line in its second year.

Why companies choose Vivaldi for direct-to-consumer programs

  • We start from demand spaces, which is what makes it possible to say what a direct relationship would be for rather than only what it would sell
  • We will tell you not to go direct, or not yet, when the model does not close. A firm whose revenue depends on a program being built rarely delivers that sentence
  • We price the first-party data against the decisions it would improve elsewhere in the company, because that is usually the largest and least examined part of the return
  • We work the partner side rather than treating channel conflict as a communications problem to be managed after launch
  • We hand over the ownership model, not only the plan, since direct programs fail more often from drifting remit than from bad execution

How to evaluate a direct to consumer consultant

Including us. These are the questions worth asking before the engagement is scoped.

  • Ask whether they will tell you not to go direct. For a meaningful number of businesses the answer is no, or not yet. A firm that has never given that answer is selling a program rather than advising on a decision.
  • Ask how they calculate sustainable acquisition cost. If the method starts from a media budget or a category benchmark rather than from your own retention data, the model will not survive contact with the second year.
  • Ask what they do about channel conflict. The credible answer involves differentiating the proposition. The weak answer involves restricting the direct offer until it is unattractive.
  • Ask what happens to the customer data. If the plan does not say which teams outside the channel will use it and for what, the largest claimed benefit is decorative.
  • Ask who runs it afterward. Direct programs need a standing owner with a strategic mandate. If the answer is the consultancy, or nobody, the program drifts into a discount storefront.

Strategy consultancy vs performance agency vs commerce implementer?

Criterion Direct-to-consumer strategy consultancy Performance marketing agency Commerce platform implementer
What it decides Whether to go direct, which demand space the relationship wins, and what acquisition cost the model can sustain How to buy and convert traffic against a target How the storefront, catalog and fulfillment stack are built and run
Typical deliverables Direct proposition, cohort and acquisition model, partner position, data and ownership model Channel plan, creative, media mix, conversion testing Platform selection, implementation, integrations, release plan
Who signs it off CEO, chief commercial officer and CFO together Head of growth or performance marketing Digital or technology leadership
How success is measured Contribution margin after acquisition, incremental volume, the value of the data elsewhere in the business Cost per acquisition, return on ad spend Time to launch, uptime, conversion rate
Best when The decision to go direct is unmade, or a live program’s economics do not close and nobody knows whether the model or the execution is wrong The proposition works and the task is to scale acquisition The model is settled and the commerce estate has to be built

Related work

A direct program touches three neighboring decisions.

This capability sits in our Competitive Strategy group, which works on where a company competes and on what terms, inside the Business Strategy and Transformation practice at Vivaldi, the strategy firm behind the Demand Landscape and the Interaction Field.

Direct to consumer consulting in the US and worldwide

We work from 10 offices on four continents, with US teams in New York and Los Angeles and European teams including Hamburg, Munich, Düsseldorf, London and Zurich. That matters for direct programs more than for most strategy work, because the answer is local: retail concentration, marketplace share, data rules and delivery economics differ enough between markets that a model which closes in one can fail in another. Where a program spans regions we build the economics per market and keep one proposition, rather than the reverse.

Start with why you would go direct

A working session on what a direct relationship would let you do that your current distribution cannot, and what it would have to be worth for the program to make sense.

Book a direct-to-consumer review

Frequently asked questions

What is a direct-to-consumer (DTC) program?

A program through which a company sells to and holds a relationship with its end customers rather than reaching them only through retailers, distributors or institutional buyers. Done well it is a business-model decision about which customer situation the company intends to own directly, not simply the addition of a website.

When does DTC make economic sense?

When the direct relationship does something the intermediated one structurally cannot, and when retained lifetime value supports the cost of acquiring the customer. Subscription, configuration, service, replenishment and products where usage data improves the next product are the cases that most often clear the bar. Selling the same item at the same price to the same buyer rarely does.

What does a direct to consumer consultant actually do?

Settles the decision before the build. That means defining the demand space a direct relationship would win, establishing what the direct offer does that retail cannot, modeling sustainable acquisition cost against your own retention history, pricing the first-party data against the decisions it would improve, and setting the ownership and measures the program will be judged on.

How do you avoid channel conflict with retail partners?

By making the direct proposition different rather than cheaper. Where the direct offer serves a situation retail does not serve well, both can be defended in a partner conversation. Discount-led direct channels create conflict because they compete on the one dimension the partner also competes on.

What is DTC customer data actually worth?

It depends entirely on who can use it. Data that improves product decisions, pricing and demand-space definitions across the business can be worth more than the channel’s own margin. Data that stays inside the e-commerce team is worth roughly what the channel earns, which is often the reason a program that looked strategic reports as a small business.

How do you calculate a sustainable customer acquisition cost?

Work back from contribution margin and realistic retained lifetime value using your own cohort behavior, then apply a payback period the business can actually finance. Category benchmarks are a poor substitute, since retention varies more between companies inside a category than it does between categories.

Should DTC be a separate business unit?

Separate enough to have its own operating rhythm and decision rights, connected enough that the data and insight reach the rest of the company. Full separation protects speed and forfeits the main strategic benefit. Full integration usually means the program is judged on quarterly revenue against a channel that took years to build.

Can this work for B2B businesses?

Yes, and the logic is often stronger. Manufacturers, publishers and software providers that sell through distributors, resellers or institutions frequently have no relationship with the person who actually uses the product. The direct question there is less about commerce and more about whether the company can see, and design for, its end user.

What is the difference between this and your DTC e-commerce strategy work?

This page covers the business-model decision: whether to go direct, which demand space the relationship wins, and what the economics have to be. Our direct-to-consumer and adaptive e-commerce strategy work covers what follows once that is settled: commerce architecture, platform and merchandising decisions, and the operating rhythm that keeps a direct channel competitive.